Monte

Often called the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, the gamblers fallacy is the mistaken notion that if an outcome.

subject to identical and independent probabilities has happened less frequently than expected, it becomes more likely to occur moving forward.

This error in thinking is commonly seen in gambling, where a person might assume the next dice roll is likelier than normal to show a six simply because sixes have recently been appearing less often than anticipated.